SPECIAL REPORT: Is Congress Creating Another Lehman Brothers in the U.S. Housing Market?

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The bill is a clear articulation of a far larger role for private capital, compared to today’s dangerous market conditions. It will liquidate the current government sponsored enterprise model, while retaining a clear role for federal support in the secondary marketplace. Read More

The Investing Letter From The Beating Heart of Wall Street

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The McDonald Advisory Letter is perhaps the most revered, and sought-after weekly investment letter on the market. This is an interview with Larry McDonald, currently the Head of Global Strategy at NewEdge in Manhattan, and is CEO of McDonald Advisory. Find out why their letter is head and shoulders above the competition. Read More

MARKET UPDATE: Margin, Gold, Europe

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iPad & iPhone: Gold, Europe, Margins CHART 1 – The Amount of People on Margin CHART 2 – European Credit Spreads VS US Financials CHART 3 – European GDP CHART 4 – GOLD – Capitulation Volume CHART 5 – GOLD – Very Oversold

“Bear Traps” vol 1 issue 2 What Are The 17 Lehman Risk Indicators Telling Us?

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With global credit and equity markets raging, we are revisiting our risk indicators – the ones we’ve been monitoring since 2006. Some are long term, some short term. Some are investor-sentiment driven, others meticulously follow systemic risk. Read More

Wanna Make Real Money? Buy Risk.

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There’s a groundswell under equities right now. Risk factors, like how much banks trust each other, are very low. And market sentiment is very high. Stocks are levitating toward new highs, and the story’s taking on a life of its own. Read More

POLITICAL RISK UPDATE: Meeting with John Boehner

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Larry McDonald had lunch with Speaker Boehner and Republican leaders last Thursday in a private room in New York with only 16 people at the table. There were major hedge fund bosses and asset managers present. The meeting went on for a good hour and 20 minutes. Our partner ACG Analytics hosted the event. Here is the audio recap, and detailed notes. Read More

RISK UPDATE: Beginning of Credit Contagion in 2013?

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With credit spreads widening in the debt-laden countries of Europe, the major financial institutions are starting to develop some slightly concerning indications of a credit contagion, hitting Italian, French and Spanish banks. The question is, has this widening of credit started to infect the US financial institutions, or are we just seeing a meaningless blip on the screen? Read More

ACG ANALYTICS: This Week In Washington

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Washington This Week February 11, 2013  White House Today at 1:45 p.m., President Obama will award the Medal of Honor to Army Staff Sgt. Clinton Romesha for conspicuous gallantry. Also, at 11:00 a.m., Vice President Biden will hold a roundtable discussion ongun safety in Philadelphia, PA. Tomorrow, President Obama will give his State of the Union address to [...]

MARKET UPDATE: SEQUESTER – LBO’s – CDS

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iPhone & iPad users: PLAY ME ACG thinks the GOP is resigned to trigger the sequester, this has significant market impact. Question? If there was a colossal 15% drop in government spending in Q4 2012, what’s it going to be in Q1 2013 after the $100 bln sequester hits? This is not completely fair because [...]

IMPORTANT MARKET UPDATE: Italy, Europe, Japan

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The confluence of rising QE and rising systemic risk in Spain and Italy is creating amazing, almost unprecedented dislocations in major stock market performances. Japan up 10.3% on the year, SP500 up 6% on the year, EuroStoxx50 down 1%, CAC40 down 0.25%, IBEX down 1.5%, DAX in Germany down 0.75%. Read More