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IN MY OPINION - September 5th, 2009

Submitted by admin on 12:38 pm – 12:38 pm7 Comments


I suppose I will go to my grave haunted by Black Monday, September 15th, 2008. We all knew it was coming. Most of us had known for a week, but that did not lessen the shock. We all awakened to the still shattering news that Lehman Brothers was no more. In the small hours of that dark Fall morning in New York, Richard S. Fuld, our isolated and obdurate Chairman, had filed for bankruptcy, ending 158 years of Wall Street, for what was, arguably, the finest merchant bank in American history.

It was so very clear to me, Bank of America, whose investment bankers spent more than 12 days with Lehman Brothers, many people I know, was mysteriously pulling away from Lehman well before that fateful weekend began. How they could spend 12 days analyzing Lehman and then buy Merrill Lynch in just two days, a $50 billion transaction, will always be to me one of the 7 mysterious wonders of the world?

The shock reverberated among Lehman’s 25,000 employees, but when I use the word ‘we’ I refer only to the men and women who had strived for more than two and a half years to save the great merchant bank from the follies of the 31st floor, where King Richard Fuld and his cohorts had resolutely steered Lehman head-on into a gigantic iceberg. It was pathetic really. Even the Titanic swerved.

The key players were Mike Gelband, Managing Director, Global Head of Fixed Income, Alex Kirk, Managing Director, Global Head of High-Yield and Leveraged Loan Businesses and my immediate boss and best friend, Larry McCarthy, Managing Director, Global Head of Distressed Debt Trading. Likewise, Richard Gatward, Managing Director, Global Head of Convertible Securities Trading, Christine Daley, Managing Director, Head of Distressed Debt Research, Dr. Madelyn Antoncic, Managing Director, Chief Risk Officer and myself.

Most of these brave leaders begged and implored our Chairman, and President Joe Gregory to change course, and in the end every one of us was fired, sidelined, moved away from the action, or somehow got rid of. We didn’t know it at the time, but we were watching the death throes of Lehman Brothers, as one by one, the greatest financiers in the building went.

All through that long and terrible weekend, all of us, now on the outside, were taking and receiving blow-by-blow calls, as Fuld and his cronies struggled to persuade the government to save them. September 15th started for us at around 5am, and my cellphone never stopped ringing. All day, and most of the following night. Three times I had to charge the battery. Over and over we called each other unable to believe what had happened, that Lehman Brothers was gone. I just remember there was so much to say, and so much which would never be said.

We, who had made the bank fortunes, mostly sat alone in our apartments dumbfounded by the news channels, watching our world crash around our ears. Nothing else seemed to matter. No other stories were even covered. On every channel the bank we all loved was being shown, surrounded by journalists, and engulfed by the sorrow and devastation which none of them understood.

I remember there was a threat of rain in the morning. Even the skies wept for Lehman Brothers, and as if to convince myself that it had really happened, I left my apartment and walked the six blocks to the old office just to witness that terrible day when chaos reigned outside 745 7th Avenue. I pushed my way through the journalists, my cellphone pressed to my ear, talking to my old boss Larry McCarthy. And I stood outside and stared up at the fourth floor, where we had battled away on the trading floor of the great bank for close to four years, shoulder-to-shoulder. I think I smiled to myself. For the good times.

But then, inevitably, I stared up to the 31st floor; that mysterious place where all the damage was done. And I’m not ashamed to say my eyes welled-up at the sheer stupidity of it. And I walked away, for the last time, with the shouts of reporters ringing in my ears. Did you work at Lehman Brothers, sir? What are you feeling now? What’s the mood like among the staff? Who do you blame for this? What are you going to do next? I was appalled by their sense of entitlement, sound bites as the collapse of Lehman Brothers heralded the start of the world’s economy crashing to its knees in the next twelve days. And they wondered what the bloody mood was like.

ONE YEAR LATER

The anniversary of that dark day approaches. In so many places the financial carnage remains - the subprime crisis that causes it, the commercial real estate crash which worsened it, still a billion acres of concrete unsold, unsellable, held together by government cash and promises. Great buildings remain half empty. The dust is clearing, but only slowly.

And yet, on this September 15th, 2009, I cannot avoid the feeling that while we have not yet reached the sunlit uplands of prosperity, we are at least climbing the hill, and no one’s out of breath. My little team, the ten people who could have saved Lehman, have dispersed now, to smaller, more manageable, and certainly more careful financial institutions.

Lehman Brothers has been largely absorbed by Barclays Plc, although the $660 billion debt may take years to unwind. We all still speak on a weekly basis, and I am obliged to say my new book, “A Colossal Failure Of Colossal Sense,” which charted the Lehman collapse, was a amalgam of input from every corner of the corporation, so many of the really big hitters, fired their penetrating observations out to the world through me and my new book. Suffice to say, when it was completed, I submitted it to all of them, and, understandably, none of them made a change. I felt a bit like Princess Diana. For wasn’t it that well-loved member of the Royal Family who fed her story out through her close friends and into Andrew Morton’s book a dozen or so years ago? Well, I operated in a similar mode.

I shall be spending most of this autumn promoting the new book, but I have been given a position in a new and very conservative financial organization. By nature, I am sometimes bear, and I have remained skeptical about the latest bull market during which the Dow Jones Industrial Average has surged by 3000 points. But I’m optimistic that the world will recover as quickly as many are hoping. And on this September the 15th, I shall be very busy broadcasting and interviewing, trying not to be too nostalgic, nor too complacent, since I am always reminded of the heartbreak of those 25,000 people, the Lehman faith full all over the globe.

The Lehman collapse cost me much of my savings, seven figures, but I intend to get it back. All of my group are working again. We’re still on the line, one to another, just like the old days, still swapping information, swapping warnings, trying to be helpful. Just a group of old comrades who once fought and died together.

September 15th will always be a date in infamy, and every time I glance into the glass exterior of 745 7th Avenue, I still see the haunted face of Richard S. Fuld, architect of so much misery. I always try to persuade myself that the Lehman collapse is all behind me. But it will never be behind me, and I expect I’ll take that stroll round to the old building sometime during the day, and glance up again. Just for the good times.

7 Comments »

  • Greg says:

    Hi - I’m reading your book, enjoying it immensly however some questions / points :

    - on the day Delta when bankrupt why weren’t you as a desk massively short, you said you ended the day long, why not flat or still short on the basis it was predicted by Jane?
    - Why did yr boss get so angry on the Beazer position which was wrong to the tune of only $4m? That’s a tiny position.

    Also - just one pedantic point, when you talk about the difference between eq and bonds you said bond-holders have the power to change mgmt at the Co. Thats not true - only in the event of default to bondholders have any influence on mgmt. Equity investors however OWN the co. and have way more levarage over CEO’s/the board. Don’t you agree?

    Thanks

  • L. Deady says:

    I just finished reading the book. I was rivited most of the time and could not put the book down.

    I was confused about some of the early history. Why did you not take the series 7 course when you first wanted to become a trader?
    Running around sending out so many resumes etc. just did not make sense?

    Also, why did your parents not realize how dangerous life would be for you and your siblings in the ghetto? Did your Mom just not want to fight for the standard of living that both your Dad and Mom should have provided? I began to think this drama was just filler to keep the reader interested? I do know that divorce can be upsetting to normal thinking processes.

    Also, I wondered why, with all your experience at short selling you did not sell Lehman stock short after your layoff to cover your
    retirement shares? Did you sign a contract promising not to sell short as part of an employment agreement?

    I remember back in 1979 I was working for International Harvester as a line foreman. We had a chairman named Archy McCardel who reminds me of Fuld. He walked away with millions when IH started downsizing and thousands of people lost jobs. Today IH is still in business making trucks but much smaller with work performed overseas. IH did not hire many new employees for decades while honoring UAW union contracts.

  • Stephen Burns says:

    Lawrence - I just finished your book and it was well done. I think it explains a lot of what happened on Wall Street that affected main street America. I just have on word to say as to why - GREED! Absolute greed gives way to any rational thinking at all levels. The greed on Wall Street was in the mortgage companies and in the irrational thinking of consumers who thought they could buy a home 5 times what they earned with no money down and be able to pay for it. I was in the mortgage business from 2001-2003 with a bank in Colorado and we saw what Aurora Loan Services offered. We DID NOT do interest only loans or much ALT A loans but we sure had a lot of offers. If we (in the mortgage business) could see the impending disaster of the mortgage business in 2004 why couldn’t all the big players, or were they too blinded to care. By the way I went to the University of Colorado at the time Dick Fuld was there. I didn’t hang with his crowd but I must say he will become one of our most dubious and infamous graduates ever and that is a shame. Thank you for bringing this book out for all to understand.

  • Stephen Hanson says:

    Hi Larry

    My compliments to you and Patrick Robinson on the book which is exceptionally well written. I have been in the money management business for thirty years so I fully appreciate the significance of your experiences both before and during Lehman. I have to say that I was impressed by your modesty and high praise for your colleagues. This gave your story enhanced credibility. I worry for you however as to what King Richard might do in response and I hope you and your publishers have taken good legal advice.

    My question is what you see as the moral of this story? The problem with capitalism is whilst its success depends on the human desire to accumulate wealth, the boundaries where such desire becomes socially unacceptable are ill-defined. Had you been unsuccessful as a trader you would have lost your job. Dick Fuld was eventually unsuccessful as CEO and lost his. The difference is he took 25,000 people down with him.

    Ideally, listed corporations should be structured so that unbridled and unfettered power cannot be vested in one person. Unfortunately, history shows us that Lehman is unlikely to be the last casualty of such power and its ever-attendant companion - avarice.

    Good luck with your career from here on.

    Regards
    Stephen

  • Helene says:

    Mr. MacDonald,

    Great book — interesting, engaging, clear, and personal — exciting for those of us not on the Street.

    But sounds like your theme is how all these brilliant, hardworking, dedicated people at Lehman were let down by Fuld and Paulson. I think not. Smart and educated, but driven by the culture of money and profit. Short-term results, end-of-year bonuses. Most of the country thinks Wall Streeters are much like your California body builders (hysterical descriptions, right-on), perhaps a bit less crass, but arrogant, self-involved, and looking for their next toy.

    I have no gripe against profits or individuals getting rich — even very rich. But is there NO responsibility that goes with the dough? What of the national economy? The world economy? How about earning the money instead of winning it, or creating something with inherent value?

    A new book, maybe about the people across the country without a Cape retreat or Soho condo to sell, who themselves continue to pack their desks in tears, might be called for. Then again, maybe not. Those of us on Main Street knows that story all too well.

  • Lyle says:

    I am curious about the data sets used to predict the no house price decline over 5% nationwide, did that mean that there would be at least one market where the price would not decline, or that the median price nationwide would not decline more than 5%? Second did the data sets include the Great Depression, or was that thought to be such a unique event that it could be explained out of the data set (i.e. it needed a fudge factor to correct)?
    Also it was noted that house prices move in cycles in different parts of the country, and that these prices had different periods. Did no one think that the cycles could line up and all hit at the sametime, had no one been to the beach? (Watch the waves every so often a big one comes in as waves add up).

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